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Studies that compare pregnancy outcomes must have an adequate number of subjects to detect a difference between the exposed group and a control group. As the the table below illustrates large sample sizes are necessary to show a twofold increase in adverse pregnancy outcomes. To detect smaller differences requires a larger sample size. To detect moderately common birth defects such as cleft lip or palate requires a sample size that is prohibitive for most controlled studies.
 

Sample Sizes Necessary to Detect a Two Fold (100%) Increase In Selected Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes (80% power, 5% Level of Significance)

Outcome

Denominator

Population rate

Number of Exposed Pregnancies Needed

Spontaneous Abortion

Enrolled Pregnancies

15/100

266

Low Birth Weight

Live Births

10/100

261

Fetal Death

Live births
plus fetal deaths

3/100

684

Any major birth defect

Live Births

3/100

684

Cardiovascular defect

Live Births

1/115

2196

Cleft lip with or without palate

Live births

1/930

17311

Stickler syndrome
(or other rare birth defect)

Live births

1/10000

185,539


Adapted from: Draft Guidance for Industry on Establishing Pregnancy Registries . U.S. Department of health and Human Services June , 1999.

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